NCM newcrest mining limited

the yuan and pog; towards a new paradigm?

  1. 3,650 Posts.
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    Hi all,

    Over the past 30 days the trend in POG has been up

    see for example kitco:
    http://www.kitco.com/charts/popup/au0030lnb.html

    whilst the yuan has devalued against the uS$ see for example XE:

    http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=USD&to=CNY&view=1M

    much has been made of the rising wealth of the middle class in China (see for example the CWN half year report) and the number of billionaires in China

    now here's the rub:

    what exactly can all these people invest in

    they cannot keep buying real estate in China. A crappy apartment in Shanghai cannot be found for $1m Australian

    they can buy Sydney real estate but as the numbers are small it will only be a short time before a home unit in Chatswood cannot be bought for $1m Australian

    they can buy $US bonds but they are not guaranteed of a default any more

    this more or less says the only affordable thing they can buy is gold.

    Of course this is just a theory but it could explain the POG rise.

    thanks
 
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