LYC 0.33% $6.06 lynas rare earths limited

this looks a winner but what are the key risks

  1. 79 Posts.
    guys, ive been researching this stock lately as one of a few potential buys and it is ticking a number of boxes for me that a lot of other resource juniors don't:

    - plenty of cash on hand
    - plenty of ore already stockpiled
    - potential to expand resource base with further drilling
    - transport organized (i believe)
    - processing plant commissioned
    - most of the production already sold into informal agreements
    - a commodity that isnt overhyped at the moment but has a solid growth profile

    it looks like a sure winner, but before i get carried away what are the key risks do you think? I am not asking for downramping, but just honest discussion about some areas of risk or where things could come unstuck for LYC

    My thoughts on risks are:
    - rare earth market appears to be extremely concentrated, if there is a significant commercial discovery made elsewhere it could greatly affect the supply/demand dynamics of the market
    - getting ore to Malaysia, potential for Port or Rail congestion?
    - price increases for reagents used in processing the ore (which appear to be the major cost of production) could greatly change the economics of the project
    - price of energy, the whole thing looks to be fairly energy intensive

    anything i missed or discussion on the above comments?



 
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$6.06
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