I won't claim to be any better than you and I won't be surprised if you're closer to the mark than I am, but my guess is that you're being optimistic below about 800 and pessimistic above 1,000. Above 1,000 I'd be very surprised if we didn't smash 20-24c. If we didn't have that upside I don't think the current price of 11-12c or so would be justified.
Good luck to all holders.