"actually- it’s anyone over 40"
More actually, the median age of people dying with Covid is 84 years.
For context, life expectancy in Australia is 82 years.
For more context, the number of Covid-related deaths to date of people under the age of 60 is 6 (six), which represents 3% of the 200 total number of deaths).
For yet more context, the number of cases recorded in people under 60-year old cohort is in excess of 13,300 (~80% of the ~17,000 total number of cases reported.
View attachment 2351975
Data sources:
https://www.health.gov.au/sites/def...navirus-covid-19-at-a-glance-30-july-2020.pdf
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/australia/
For yet even more context, in the sub-60 year old cohort, the mortality rate works out to be ....divide 6 by 13,300... and you get.... wait for it...
0.045%
(To be clear here, that's not 4.5%; it is 4.5% of one percent. Or, put another way, 4.5 one-hundredths of one percent. When I saw how statistically small the answer I derived was, I was sure I must have made a calculation error, but I checked my workings a few times. Of course, it is still possible that I may have made an error which my checking failed to detect, so I will be happy for it to be pointed out to me if I have.)
And, of course, that figure is derived from the number of reported cases only; when accounting for the asymptomatic nature of this virus, that mortality rate is even lower.
It is an interesting observation to make, that in the early days of this virus, there were all manner of projections of deaths approaching 100,000 in Australia.
In quite recent times that has been ratcheted down and on this forum some prodigious posters have pointed to 15,000-to-$30,000 and 10,000-to-20,000 potential deaths. (But, when asked to substantiate those estimates, no further response was forthcoming from those posters.)
With the actual mortality rate now not being nearly as dire as predicted, the narrative has changed tack to the now-increasingly common refrain of "But it has long-term health impacts."
And like the lack of any basis for the earlier dire predictions of deaths, there is no independent, clinical evidence provided to support the "long-term health effects" ambit claim.
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