Assuming we at least get the target result we may conservatively anticipate 25c hydrocarbon profit per share (based on the company's estimate).
Taking some NPV, risk and market considerations into account that may, I guess, translate to a 15c+ SP. That's 3+ bags that and even VILO may be in the money by expiry date.
I'm not a chartist but I fail to see how any form of analysis could predict SP movements more that a few hours in advance (based on buy stack/ sell stack & volume) at the moement. We are IMHO in unchartered ST waters for the next 4 weeks ... but good luck with the trading anyway. I'll just hold.
VIL Price at posting:
4.2¢ Sentiment: Hold Disclosure: Held