I think that's optimistic.
Let's say they start Jan/Feb 2016. I can't imagine they'd be able to crunch through even a small, quick trial in less than six months, in fact I'd say 6 months is impossibly optimistic, more like 9 months to a year. Then they've got to go through the FDA process and it seems to take 6 months to make anything happen there. If they get to Ph III in 2016 I'd be impressed. Given we know the trials will be sequential, I really can't see Ph III starting in 1H 2016. I would be very happy to be wrong.
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