PDN 1.71% $13.24 paladin energy ltd

U recovering and there is more to come. Japan restart. China and...

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    • U recovering and there is more to come.
    • Japan restart.
    • China and US confirm nuclear as technology to reduce and manage co2.
    • Fuk period coming to an end.
    • Supply will be needed.
    • Coming back from cold.
    • 25% balance sheet recovery key
    • Next phase of consolidation – neg several parties for association – process underway – choices have to be made by board among options open to it.
    • Current funding will meet objectives.
    • Speedy U recovery and speedy restart mean PDN can take advantage of increased prices.
    • 3 months to solve scaling problem fully.
    • Sales down
    • 1.9mlb expected to be sold this q with prem on avg spot
    • 190m us key step to repair balance sheet together with refinancing done
    • Initiation of restart feasibility study for when prices recover – all parameters are known and risk is minimal effectively a step by step startup manual
    • U market outlook slide 6 aug – nov 28 – 36/37 => spot market supply tightening due to cameco temporarily but prices held
    • Russian restriction didn’t happen and still prices rose
    • Up to 42 now => supply tightness and Jap restart
    • Volume triple entire 2013 year without changing term prices this has absorbed slack and driven out some shorters
    • Additional term contracting in next 6 months will test shortages post 16 and will increase 14/15 prices but at current level will not bring on new mines
    • Each year new mines delayed, the greater the price action
    • Reduction in global production that it underway FY14 production cut back is having an effect on supply and particularly the spot market
    • 6 – 8 m lb cut back 4 m lb removed from spot into term contracts
    • 45-50 m lb spot market volume but a lot of this vol is churn (trading?) estimate only 25m lb of production
    • Phone cut out….
 
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