Extract from seeking alpha Matt Bohlsen article - original article was posted in March 2018
Cobalt Blue Holdings [ASX:COB] (OTCPK:CBBHF) - Price = AUD 1.04
Cobalt Blue are optioned to 100% own the Thackaringa cobalt-pyrite sulphide project in NSW Australia. They are buying in from Broken Hill Prospecting [ASX:BPL].
Cobalt blue currently has a global Mineral Resource estimate of 72Mt at 0.0852% cobalt [Co], 9.3% sulphur & 10% iron [Fe] for 61,000 tonnes contained cobalt (at a 0.05% cobalt cut-off). Note that 72% of the Mineral Resource is now in the Indicated category. Cobalt Blue is targeting a resource of 100 million tonnes at 0.084% cobalt for 84,000 tonnes of contained cobalt. That will support a 20 year operation at 4,000 tonnes pa, and make Cobalt Blue a top five global producer. It is quite possible this will move to a 5,000tpa production target prior to commencing production around 2021 all going well.
Cobalt Blue will have a low cost of production due to their ore type and a new way to process it using gravity separation. The company states - "The heavy sulphide separates easily. We therefore only need to process 20% of mined ore (sulphide) in a refinery." The graph below shows the huge advantage this potentially gives Cobalt Blue.
Most of the laterite deposits will need to refine the ore at 0.1-0.2%, whereas Thackaringa will be refining concentrate at 0.4-0.5% cobalt.
Source
The company is currently working to prove up their resource with further drilling.
Upcoming catalysts include:
Current market cap is AUD 111m. Investors can view my interview - "Cobalt Blue CEO Joe Kaderavek Talks With Matt Bohlsen Of Trend Investing."
- By 30 June 2018 - PFS to be released. My estimate is for an unrisked NPV8% of A$1.08b.
- 2018 - Possible off-take agreements.
- By 30 June 2019 - BFS.
My current target price for end 2021 based on reaching a 4,000tpa cobalt production target and selling @ USD 35/lb is AUD 5.18 or 5x higher. This increases to AUD 6.59 or 6.3x higher if they make it to become a 5,000tpa producer. If we use current spot prices then respective target prices are closer to AUD 7 and AUD 9. Clearly at AUD 9 there is a ~9 fold gain on current prices.
I view Cobalt Blue as the best valued junior cobalt play and an outstanding buy opportunity still. The reason is they have a sulphide ore (lower CapEx), a way to massively reduce processing costs (lower Opex), a growing resource, and an exceptional valuation due to the early stage.
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Extract from seeking alpha Matt Bohlsen article - original...
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Last
5.5¢ |
Change
-0.001(1.79%) |
Mkt cap ! $24.46M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
5.5¢ | 5.5¢ | 5.4¢ | $6.996K | 127.2K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
5 | 320140 | 5.4¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
5.5¢ | 11166 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
5 | 320140 | 0.054 |
4 | 113588 | 0.053 |
7 | 128173 | 0.052 |
5 | 311090 | 0.051 |
14 | 709382 | 0.050 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.055 | 11166 | 1 |
0.056 | 15500 | 1 |
0.057 | 32439 | 2 |
0.058 | 103580 | 2 |
0.059 | 12000 | 1 |
Last trade - 15.17pm 21/07/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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