Given Cairn's tight hole policy I would have thought there would be no reason for them to make a "results announcement" prior to reaching TD unless they have made a discovery in the upper target. The odds of the CE's drill rate increasing and hitting TD this early into the planned schedule I would have thought to be extremely low so IMO way to early for a duster announcement. I can also see no commercial reason for a premature duster well announcement. May be wrong but I think the Jubilee comparison is growing. As evidenced by the low volume over the last week any sniff of bad news from SNE 1 would have seen a lot more exiting - again IMO.
By the laws of logical deduction I think it may be "Elementary, my dear Watson"
GLTA
Cheers
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