Analyst ratings of WGX haven't changed over the last 3 months. Just that the Gold price has dropped, which has lead to the share price weakness.
https://quotes.wsj.com/AU/XASX/WGX/research-ratings
OK, fair enough.
Question is, why is this stock trading at such a discount to peers? Westgold prefer you to compare EV/Reserve oz and EV/Resource oz, but these are only metrics for peak of the Gold market, which is the opposite of where we are at now.
A middle of the road metric would be maybe FCF%. On that metric WGX is indeed cheap, but it relies on low costs and expenditure. Best results are in steady state production, but WGX is ramping up, so FCF% is bound to come under future pressure compared to current forecasts. Management wants to develop the mines, not generate FCF.
A suitable metric for bottom of the Gold cycle is NAV. Here is where the market is valuing WGX, with anything not bolted down discounted heavily. Re-rating higher can come from either the Gold market cycle turning or Management taking their foot off the accelerator. Neither is guaranteed or even likely for a lot of investors. Management could announce a change of strategic direction, flog off what their not developing and go conservative. Instead we have a Westgold going for growth, and that comes at the price of share price weakness in the current Gold environment.That's my thinking anyway.
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WGX
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Analyst ratings of WGX haven't changed over the last 3 months....
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Last
$2.91 |
Change
-0.030(1.02%) |
Mkt cap ! $2.744B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$2.92 | $2.96 | $2.86 | $15.89M | 5.459M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 29450 | $2.91 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$2.95 | 68639 | 3 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 29450 | 2.910 |
8 | 189412 | 2.900 |
3 | 12042 | 2.880 |
1 | 345 | 2.870 |
5 | 27087 | 2.850 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
2.950 | 68639 | 3 |
2.960 | 34854 | 3 |
2.970 | 36480 | 2 |
2.980 | 2823 | 2 |
2.990 | 5000 | 1 |
Last trade - 16.11pm 25/06/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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WGX (ASX) Chart |