The net profit margin for the last 4 years has been 1.9%
I just did a quick 10 year forecast. Assuming 5% growth in sales from the 2017 annual statement and a constant 1.9% profit margin. Discounted the future sums by 3%, and divided the total by the no shares outstanding getting a $5.82 price.
This was just a quick analysis and doesn't take into account the effect of compounded returns a shareholder would enjoy if he held the stock for 10 years.
But 10 years is a long time for your investment to be paid back, especially for a stock like the reject shop which isnt exactly blue chip.
However, if TRS can maintain a 3% profit margin, then the present value of the stock based on 10 years earning is $9.19, which would make TRS about 40% undervalued. Plus with the compounded effect of dividends, it would be worth a lot more. The half yearly net profit margin was 4%, which would give it a present value of $12.25. S0 I can understand why one would buy at this price, but at the same time I can understand why many people are hitting the sell button.
I might set a buy order at 5.50
Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 0 Growth 794,036,000 Years 1 5% 833,737,800 $15,841,018.20 1 2 5% 875,424,690 $16,633,069.11 2 3 5% 919,195,925 $17,464,722.57 3 4 5% 965,155,721 $18,337,958.69 4 5 5% 1,013,413,507 $19,254,856.63 5 6 5% 1,064,084,182 $20,217,599.46 6 7 5% 1,117,288,391 $21,228,479.43 7 8 5% 1,173,152,811 $22,289,903.40 8 9 5% 1,231,810,451 $23,404,398.57 9 10 5% 1,293,400,974 $24,574,618.50 10 11 12 NPV $167,954,854.69 13 $5.82
The net profit margin for the last 4 years has been 1.9% I just...
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