AGM australian governance & ethical index fund

true value of agm

  1. 259 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 25
    I'm sick and tired of reading all the "fair value" b/s that comes from all the ZFX holders on this thread who have no AGM holdings and therefore no other motive than to try and talk it down. So thought I'd post our calculations of the true value of AGM. (Can't take all the credit for this, your work Keith).

    8500tpa x $A29,500 x 0.8 concentrate % (commercial in confidence but informed about 10% better than comparable
    = $200,600,000 pa

    Less:

    Tas Govt royalty of 5% of above
    = $10,030,000

    Production costs:
    8,500,000 x $3lb x 2.2 = $56,100,000

    Gross Operating Profit before tax & interest
    = $134,470,000

    Societe Generale loan
    $73,000,000 (only $20m drawn down so far) x 10% = $7,300,000

    Tax @ 30%
    = ($134,470,000 - $7,300,000) x 0.3
    = $38,151,000

    Gross Operating Profit after tax & interest
    = $89,019,000

    Divide 807,100,000 shares and unlisted options
    = $0.11

    Using Meluas PE of 12 quoted previously
    = $1.32

    No account for Melba flats, Bison, Saxon, Bintje, Pontiac or the latest – Godkin. Have I missed any?!!

    Where's the "blue sky" in the $1 offer price there please anyone?

    $eeker
 
Add to My Watchlist
What is My Watchlist?
A personalised tool to help users track selected stocks. Delivering real-time notifications on price updates, announcements, and performance stats on each to help make informed investment decisions.

Currently unlisted public company.

arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.