had a quick look ,,,,That's all you ever do. There's not much...

had a quick look ,,,,

That's all you ever do. There's not much brains to do much else.

Hence Mr Lichtman’s previous prediction, before President Joe Biden withdrew from the race, that he would have won re-election, despite his abysmal polling and disastrous performance in June’s televised debate against Mr Trump

Obama polled worse and got worse results in his first debate. There are other historical circumstances and worse than Obama.
How was Trump polling in 2016, looker?

The model doesn’t take those things into account.

Yes, they do when they move from Uncertian to Likely to Certainly True or False.
You would know that if you had the brain capacity to think beyond looking.