Inelastic demand shows that when the price of a commodity in this case cigarettes goes up the demand stays the same. In this case the increase in the price due to the higher tax. So most who are still smoking will continue to buy them. As for less people smoking, in many cases it is due to them falling off the perch so to speak, a few do give it away for health reasons but not many. However, the true reason for less smoking overall as I pointed out is that many of the young in particular, smoking is not cool (except for some young females), so they turn to something more cool - it is always the way.
In any case I don't think they could afford both, so choose your poison!
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