The methodology is simple to explain.
A town has a Trump super spreader event. To gauge its health impact, find as many similar towns as possible that haven't had a Trump rally. Compare the spread of disease between those with Trump rallies, and those without. (The more examples the better, to average down any other variables or unknowns.)
It's not subjective at all. If you're not acquainted with statistical methodologies, they're part of the curriculum in most Honours years. So you wouldn't have encountered them in first year.
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