turbulent times

Originally posted by pintohoo: ↑

for interest

There is evidence that climate change is causing an increase in air turbulence, particularly clear air turbulence. The key points are:

- A study analyzing data from 1979 to 2020 found a 55% increase in severe clear air turbulence on a typical flight route over the Atlantic Ocean.[1][3] Other routes over Europe, the Middle East, South Atlantic, and Eastern Pacific also saw more turbulence.[1]

- The increase in turbulence is attributed to climate change altering wind patterns and wind shear in the jet stream as the planet warms.[1][2][3] Warmer temperatures reduce the temperature difference between the poles and equator, causing the jet stream to become more erratic and turbulent.[1]

- Wind shear, a major cause of clear air turbulence, is now around 15% stronger than in the 1970s and expected to increase further in coming decades due to climate change.[1]

- While turbulence from storms is also projected to increase as the atmosphere holds more moisture and thunderstorms become more intense with warming, clear air turbulence is more difficult to predict and avoid.[2][4]

- One study predicted severe turbulence could triple over the next 3-6 decades unless greenhouse gas emissions are limited.[1] Another estimated clear air turbulence could be 4 times as common by 2050 under certain climate scenarios.[4]

So multiple studies provide evidence that climate change has already begun increasing turbulence encountered by aircraft, with further increases expected in the future if global warming continues unabated.[1][2][3][4]

Sources
[1] Why Climate Change is Causing Turbulence on Flights - Greenly https://greenly.earth/en-gb/blog/ecology-news/why-climate-change-is-causing-turbulence-on-flights
[2] Climate change is fuelling turbulence on some of our most common ... https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-05-22/the-link-between-climate-change-and-turbulence/103877522
[3] Flight turbulence increasing as planet heats up - study - BBC
[4] Are some routes more prone to air turbulence? Will climate change ... https://theconversation.com/are-som...-make-it-worse-your-questions-answered-230666
[5] Is climate change making turbulence worse? - BBC

Expand

Thats the problem Pinto when you're dealing with a dopey denier on climate change. If in their sille heads all the science is a scam, then they need to clasp at something else to explain the SA flight event. In Moggs case he grabbed a theory that it was due to the number of planes in the sky, and P endorsed that stupidity. The research show's that clear air turbulence is increasing both in it's frequency and severity. Zero to do with plane numbers.
It does stand to reason for any logical thinker that a warming earth might just emit more warmer air parcels which rise into the atmosphere.
It really isn't rocket science, but for some all too hard.

Flight turbulence increasing as planet heats up - study

https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-65844901