Turnbull Waves The White Flag, page-47

Yes, there has been a move to the minors as well as an improvement in the Labor primary vote while the Coalition vote has dropped to a disastrous low. The problem for the Coalition is that the combined vote of Labor and the Greens is 48% which means that of the ‘other’ grouping of 19% it only needs a small number of preferences from that group to achieve a majority whereas the coalition would need nearly all that 19%. The reality based on previous elections and on respondent allocated preferences on the IPSOS figure is that it would be a landslide win to Labor.