Thanks Mason.
I haven't completed the future cash flow projections, however here are some quick figures.
*** Please note, this only for Fibromyalgia **** And I have been very conservative on market penetration, clinical probability, execution, and PE ratio ****
Theoretical Revenue Potential of TYP-8803 Treatment Type of condition Fibromyalgia Treatment Path IV psilocin Number of cases annually (1) 4,000,000 Percentage of Patients would suit this type of treatment 100% Assumed % treated with treatment (market penetration) 10% Number treated with treatment 400,000 Average treatment cost AUD (2) $4,500 Estimated Potential Revenue (AUD) $1,800,000,000 Assumed After-tax Margin 13.5% Net Profit After Tax $243,000,000 P/E (below current pharma industry average (3)) 25 Estimated Capitalisation $6,075,000,000 Indicative most recent Phase Phase IIa Clinical Probability Score (4) 30% Commercial / Execution Probability Score (Board quality) 25% Probability 8% Fully-diluted share issue 1,089,000,000 Assumed dilution 20% Estimated Share Issue 1,306,800,000 EPS $0.19 P/E (pharma industry average) 25 Unrisked Valuation $4.65 Risked Valuation $0.35 Current price $0.022 Bags (unrisked) 211 Bags (risked) 16
1 - Fibromyalgia | Arthritis | CDC
2 - Positive Phase 2a Fibromyalgia Results Deliver Pain Reduction in 100% of Patients, Strengthening IP Position and Clinical Trial Strategy | INN (investingnews.com)MDMA, psilocybin treatments tipped to cost at least $25,000 (smh.com.au)How Much Does Psychedelic Assisted Therapy Cost (And Is It Worth It?) - Tripsitter
3 - U.S. Pharma Industry Analysis (**.st)4 - Estimation of clinical trial success rates and related parameters | Biostatistics | Oxford Academic (oup.com)
Not advice, DYOR, etc
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tryptamine therapeutics limited
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Thanks Mason.I haven't completed the future cash flow...
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