Assuming the company can't pay dividends till 2018 (5 years), and based on a growth rate of 5% and minimal new business acquisitions then the potential cash on hand would be as follows:
Opening cash per AGM date 17m + 2013 cash flow 10m + 2014 cash 12m + 2015 cash 13m + 2016 cash 14m + 2017 cash 15m + 2018 cash 16m = 97m.
This figures are based on EBITA less say 30% to take into other cash items that will effect cash flow...conservative adjustment) to try and get this figure near cash flow.
Therefore based on this, the cash would represent about $1.14 per share in 2018. Assuming the market value the Business based on 1 x multiple which they appear to be doing for some strange reason (should be 7) then add another 25m to the value. Therefore $1.43.
Based on the current share price of 38 cents, then potentially over a six year period the share price will be 375% higher which equates to a return of 62% p.a.
Based on cash alone, assume the buisiness is worth nil this is a 300% increase. This equates to 50% return each year (eventually when things catch up).
All we need now is for the market to catch up....
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Assuming the company can't pay dividends till 2018 (5 years),...
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Last
$1.13 |
Change
-0.015(1.32%) |
Mkt cap ! $102.0M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$1.12 | $1.16 | $1.12 | $30.76K | 27.18K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 4968 | $1.13 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$1.16 | 6451 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 4968 | 1.125 |
1 | 480 | 1.120 |
1 | 12510 | 1.115 |
1 | 9986 | 1.110 |
4 | 35590 | 1.100 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
1.160 | 6451 | 1 |
1.170 | 305 | 1 |
1.185 | 7874 | 1 |
1.200 | 81046 | 3 |
1.240 | 1000 | 1 |
Last trade - 15.59pm 08/11/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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