New peace initiative by Trump's Ukraine-Russia envoy Gen Kellogg may be in favour of Putin on the outset but would not be a loss to Ukraine in the scheme of current developments. Currently Ukraine in on the backfoot on the battlefield in a seesawing war but beginning to counter the most lethal arsenal of Russia, the glide bomb. If weapons keep coming at rapid pace Biden is planning, Ukraine might wrestle the initiative in their favour come spring.
Proposal of freezing current front lines with Putin claiming conquered land will give Putin a chance to save face and keep going. However,many sanctions will stay put and Russia will pay, through a levy on its oil exports, for Ukraine reconstruction.
Ukraine however will not be asked to give up on lost land will save Zelensky's face too leaving further negotiations to next generations.Might take few generations to decide the winner of the war will depend mostly on the progress and stability of Ukraine and its military and economical standing in global arena. Ukraine could do it if they can unite and keep the likes of Putin out of sight.
