I don't think your TAM figures are correct:
Aerial imagery market: $10bn globally and north of $1bn locally
LiDAR market: c$1.3bn globally and >$100m locally
US 3D Market: c$2bn
I'd also add that EV/EBITDA is more useful if you forecast a few years forward and exclude one-offs (like that $2.5m off-the-shelf sale). Nearmap is only just gettting to c$25m EBITDA implying a mid to high 20's multiple. Otherwise trades at ~4x revenue, AMX should trade at the same multiple?
Pre-covid and capital raises on the NEA side, a crude measure of value was direct SP as NEA trades at a forward EV/EBITDA premium like in the old Taylor Collison reports (obviously not dumb and know that shares outstanding x price is MCap).
NEA $1.18, AMX 3x? or at least 2x?
Also AMX listed at $1 (c$100m MCap) and hasn't tapped the market since.
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I don't think your TAM figures are correct:Aerial imagery...
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Last
21.5¢ |
Change
0.000(0.00%) |
Mkt cap ! $20.42M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
21.5¢ | 21.5¢ | 21.5¢ | $430 | 2K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 5079 | 21.5¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
23.0¢ | 50506 | 3 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 5079 | 0.215 |
3 | 39257 | 0.210 |
3 | 147633 | 0.205 |
3 | 77500 | 0.200 |
1 | 4615 | 0.195 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.230 | 50506 | 3 |
0.240 | 63653 | 2 |
0.245 | 4077 | 1 |
0.250 | 22011 | 2 |
0.255 | 15000 | 1 |
Last trade - 09.59am 31/07/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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