i have said before(2 weeks ago) that I think the trades industry(and others) will most likely be redirected to mining work
all your points i agree with, they are also equally likely scenarios and also states of play,
i dont lean towards them 100% but also acknowledge that i could be wrong and you are right
nobody knows anything with certainty, you only have to look at the "Keynesian Economics vs. Austrian Economics" video to see how wrong the "experts" can be. People who still have a job and get it so embarrassingly wrong