re: share price should be double that currently
Strachan Corporate’s long term value target of $150 million or 82 cps should gradually be recognised by the market as projects move closer to production during 2007/8. Exco’s White Dam gold project could be in construction Q1 2007 and commissioned by June. Earnings in FY 2008 are estimated at over 4 cps, rising to 7 cps in FY 2009. Spending of $750K to expand its copper resource base around Cloncurry during Q4 2006, combined with movement towards concentrate production in a purpose built plant should provide market support. Exco’s enterprise value is substantially underpinned by Strachan Corporate’s estimated pre-tax NPV of $38 million for its White Dam gold project. A dump leach project at White Dam should commence mid 2007, generating $33.5 million of free cash over three years from production of 140,000 oz of gold. Lycopodium Engineering has been appointed to conduct an initial scoping study for production of a copper/gold concentrate at Cloncurry with early 2009 seen as an achievable start-up date. Resources in the region now stand at around 351 Kt of copper plus 354 Koz of gold. Strachan Corporate believes that Exco’s copper & gold resources in Queensland have a long term value of $70-$120 million, equal to 38-65 cents per share to the company. The company has significant exploration appeal, both around its White Dam gold project, where deeper high grade gold intersections have been recorded and around Cloncurry, where significant new copper mineralisation has been discovered and purchased.
It is an absolute joke that the share price is hanging around at current levels.
EXS Price at posting:
0.0¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held