I wrote this on 9 Feb:
"Sept qter, av selling price $22.70, cash receipts $3.2m, implying 141 t REO equiv sold (ie and paid for).
Dec qter, av selling price $21.48, cash receipts $6.9m, implying 321.2 t REO equiv sold.
Ongoing operational, production and admin cost actually fell from $40m in Sept qter to $37.9m in Dec qter ( ie even as production ramping up)
Assuming cost are $38m / qter and av selling price is $22, implies LYC need to sell and get paid for 1,727 t REO equiv in a qter.
If I apply increase in sold production from Sept qter to Dec qter ( ie 321.2/141= 2.28) then LYC sold t REO equiv is 731.69 t REO equiv in March qter ( ie 321.2 x 2.28) and 1,668 t REO equiv in June qter."
I predicted 731 t REO, which to my surprise was more or less spot on.
I continue to hold overweight as I think debt situation will be easily dealt with when cash flows are so obviously building nicely.
K
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Last
$7.75 |
Change
0.030(0.39%) |
Mkt cap ! $7.244B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$7.71 | $7.81 | $7.63 | $12.03M | 1.561M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 6556 | $7.73 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$7.77 | 3385 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 6556 | 7.730 |
3 | 12284 | 7.710 |
1 | 9401 | 7.700 |
2 | 30653 | 7.690 |
2 | 18250 | 7.680 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
7.770 | 3385 | 1 |
7.780 | 12284 | 3 |
7.790 | 9401 | 1 |
7.800 | 12151 | 2 |
7.810 | 9401 | 1 |
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