copyright link/business/2016/11/20/uranium-the-unloved-metal-whose-price-is-poised-to-go-radioactiv/
“We know that this demand at some point has to come to the market,” said boss Tim Gitzel earlier this month. He complained that both contract and spot prices “have fallen to levels that are neither rational nor sustainable”.
The belief is that utilities are becoming “uncovered”; with spot prices so low, they have resisted locking themselves into long-term contracts. This could leave them scrabbling for supply at the end of the decade, giving producers the upper hand on prices.
It’s a view shared by analysts at Cantor Fitzgerald, who predicted this year that a “violent increase” in uranium prices was on the way.
Cantor predicts that up to 80pc of the uranium market could be uncovered by 2025. Moreover, it believes demand will outstrip supply, saying: “The low-price environment has choked off exploration activity for uranium and we are at the point where there are not enough uranium projects in the pipeline that can adequately meet the coming demand.”
Peter Reeve, executive chairman of Aura Energy, describes the spot price as an “irrelevance”.
“I don’t believe the supply side is what’s hitting the spot price. It’s more just speculators playing that part of the market,” he says.
Aura, which like Berkeley is listed in Australia, joined Aim in September, with a view to progressing uranium projects in Mauritania and Sweden.
Reeve also believes a “demand avalanche” is coming. Uranium is a relatively common metal, found in rocks and even seawater. Locating it in the right concentrations can be difficult, however.
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