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US Consumer Deflation results in BIG SILVER RALLY'S, page-2

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Heisenberg63

1,681 Posts.

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14/10/22

13:51

Post #: 64201739
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Originally posted by icm63: ↑

There have been 4x major rally's in silver (gold and oil) since the 1970s.

They have all been born from periods of consumer deflation.
Consumer deflation must be avoided at all costs by central planners due to: GDP collapse, banking crisis, social stability.
Central planners create monetary stimulus to exit consumer deflation, hence a rallies in hard assets.

Consumer deflation is best shown by deep decreasing year over year (YOY%) house prices.
House prices sinks due to over supply, materials inflation, high mortgage rates, consumer income shrink.
A leading indicator of house prices (Shiller Index) is sentiment (NAHB Sentiment Index), and this has recently crashed, and still moving lower.

Higher silver moves in the chart numbers 1,2,3,4 all are born out of deep consumer deflation periods.

Number 5 forecast
- NAHB Sentiment has crashed (light green)
- Shiler National House price index will follow (blue).
- Consumer deflation will be confirmed when blue line sinks below ZERO (horizontal blue line).
- THEN CENTRAL PLANNERS will print .BRRRRRRR!
- Late 2023 will be good for hard assets.

Expand

Late 2023?
So.. another year of pain for SVL / silver holders?

SVL Price at posting: 18.3¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
3 Upvote

0 Great analysis

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