The continuing news out of the Horn of Africa supports the view...

The continuing news out of the Horn of Africa supports the view that in the short, medium and most probably long term that NO drilling will in fact take place...

Somalia: 31 dead in Mogadishu battles and bombs
21 Aug 21, 2009 - 10:38:41 AM
The eruption of renewed hostilities in Mogadishu comes days after the Somali federal parliament approved the government's request to enact a state of emergency across the country. READ: Federal lawmakers approve state of emergency law

Separately, fighting in other regions of south-central Somalia continued between insurgent groups, like Al Shabaab, and government forces and their allies, including the Ethiopian-backed Ahlu Sunnah Wal Jamee'a faction.

Hardliners like Al Shabaab and another faction, Hizbul Islam, control large sections of Mogadishu and other regions of south-central Somalia.

http://www.garoweonline.com/artman2/publish/Somalia_27/Somalia_31_dead_in_Mogadishu_battles_and_bombs.shtml

I wonder which side/fractions the mighty USA will back...going on past history probably all until a clear and backable (read controllable) leader/faction is clear.

Cheers