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I dont see what the problem is with rail to port.* If BHP doesnt...

  1. 1,201 Posts.
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    I dont see what the problem is with rail to port.

    * If BHP doesnt come to an agreement or JV, then we got FMG.

    * FMG has an open door policy.

    * So all we need to do is drill a little more and get the resource up to at leat 70mill-100mill.

    * At this point, mining will get a green light.

    * If BHP doesnt want to give us access, with 100mill under our belt and a feasability study, whats stopping us from coming to an agreement with FMG??

    * Nothing!

    So all you gotta do is GET SET with your holding.

    ** Ive alrwady proven beyond a shadow of a doubt that EVEN IF WE DOUBLE THE EQUITY VIA A CAP RAISING, AND USE 70USD LONG TERM PRICE AND 48aud COSTS, AND 3-5MILL PRODDY, THE EPS IS VERY GOOD!

    They will be profitable, even if we use less than 70USD price.

    WPG did a feasability study and they have costs of 55AUD due to high transport costs (trucking)

    Like I said our EPS figure is HIGH even when using conservative pricing and DOUBLING the equity!

    If we dont double the equity and use say 100USD and 3-5 mill proddy, the EPS is over $1.00 per share . Look at previous posts

    *** If we use $100USD as the price we get :

    100USD * 1.13 = 113

    113 - 48 costs = 65AUD profit per tonne

    3mill tonnes : 65 * 3 = 195mill

    after tax: 136.5mill net

    Now we currently have 85mill shares. lets use 100mill shares instead

    thats $1.36 per share (and this is 3mill proddy not 5mill)

    dilute an extra 50 mill if you may:

    you get $1.00 per share approximately!

    So this shares worth $10.00 on a PE of 10

    5mill production : 65mill rvenue per tonne * 5 = 325

    after tax : 227.5

    using current equity (say 100 mill again instead of 85mill)

    $2.27 per share!

    add another 50mill shares if you may:

    227.5/135 = $1.68 per share

    On a PE of 6 thats $10.00 per share valuation.

    OK now lets DOUBLE the CAPITAL:

    3mill tonnes - 136net profit / 170 = 80 cents per share!

    5 mill tonnes - 227.5/ 170 = $1.34 per share!

    So on a price of 100USD you get anywhere between 80cents per share and $1.34 per share EPS IF U DOUBLE THE CAPITAL!

    *** Now u tell me this outfit isnt undervalued!

    YML can easily DOUBLE its share capital and raise the funds needed via 100% equity for the project if they need to build tracks to FMGs line, and EPS is STILL 80c-$1.30 per share !!!!

    you cant escape the figures

    ITS UNDERVALUED AS HELL! INFRASTRUCTURE DEAL OR NO INFRASRUCTURE DEAL, ITS GROSSLY UNDERVALUED. EVEN IF YOU USE A FORWARD PE OF 5, ITS GROSSLY UNDERVALUED AND IVE ACTUALLY DOUBLED THE SHARE CAPITAL WHICH WONT REALISTICALLY HAPPEN.

 
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