So no takers on the higher SP bets from Russ or me? Downrampers obviously dont even want to risk or have the resources to put up $1000 to support their views with real money choose to hide behind a computer in the dark... pathetic and cowardly. If you dont believe in your own downramp by actions then who can believe you on here? The bets were-
1. $1000 on a higher SP by end 2015 as proposed by Russ?
2. my bet that AHZ hits 23c in 2015 of $1000?
Haplos spreadsheet (below) i have amended to assess actual pack sales of cardiocel right now
Assumptions- unit cardiocell sales based on a rate of at an 11% reduced acceleration normal distribution graph analysis (11% pm centre uptake reduces to 10%, 9% pm etc), assessment of the monthly and annual sales figures, units on consignment for sale convert to sales even though delivered on site but then used and not returned. The consignment to sales figures would be high at 80% conversion IMHO, it can be assessed on centre estimated sales or actual sales in US$ figures minus consignment stock ratios)
RPH sales figures ---- Jan 14-Jul 2014 =
1200- 1490 cardiocel units (packets@ $1500USper pack)
($1.9M/$1500US/aus-us exchange rate at 0.85) ie the higher the US dollar to the AUS the higher the unit sales as the receipts are in US$ and the AUS$ is lower than the US. Consignment stock delivered 1900 units.
Jan 2015 $3.0M receipts $2.9M staff costs units sold 2300-2470 (on sales) or centre uptake 2700
($1500US per unit, 2-3 units per procedure, 20 operations per month per reordering centre, 0.81 exchange rate us$toAUS$), stock on consignment 1000 units, total centres 54
Jun 2015 - - 38 45 8 canada 20 Aust 12 $4.5M $3.2M
total centres = 103; so 103x20x2.5 = 5150 units
or on sales est of $4.5M @0.81 US$ = 3704
Dec 2015 -- 52 65 12 45 26 $20M $4.6M
total = 190 centres = 9,500 units sales per month
OR on sales figures of $20M=== 16,460 cardiocel units
As can be seen the disconnect from centre uptake and actual sales varies dramatically in 2015 as it becomes harder to estimate centre uptake and procedures per centre as they get more numerous.
At 100,000 units =$185M sales income. So the sales income accelarates exponentially with higher centre uptake and higher consignment stock conversion.
Anyone want to challenge this assessment this time? SP is woefully undervalued on these figures.
(20min delay)