MYG 0.65% 76.5¢ mayfield group holdings limited

valuation

  1. 104 Posts.
    Hi guys,

    Off the back of requests, I have modeled MYG'd deflector project as follows

    a) 7 yr mine life with 1 yr Oxide, 1 yr Transitional and 5 yr underground operation
    b) Average LOM costs of $617 Au Equiv (that takes into account copper and silver credits).
    c) 3/4 of a year for mine development
    d) 1st year ops running at 250kt (4.8 g/t Au head grade) followed by year 2 to 7 at 330ktpa (4.4g/t Au)
    e) $225,000 p/q ongoing costs
    h) 7yrs of depreciation
    i) FLAT 1700 AUD gold price with NO FX.

    NPV - AUD$110.3m @ 8%
    NPV - AUD$81.7m @ 12%
    NPV - AUD$64.4m @ 15%

    With my own FX Curve and Gold Prices

    NPV - AUD$83.5m @ 8%
    NPV - AUD$59.9m @ 12%
    NPV - AUD$45.6m @ 15%

    I might need to make some further refinements to the Copper Price Forecasts but seeing as they are only producing 14kt over 7 yrs its impact will be relatively minimal.

    Let me know if there are other scenarios you'd like me to run, its pretty simple. Sorry I can't send over copies of my models as you'd know who I work for and I'd rather you didn't!

    Thanks

 
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