IEF ief real estate entertainment group

value of assets, page-3

  1. 1,528 Posts.
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    I have just done some back of the fag packet calculations.
    Forgetting about cash on hand or current debtors etc the following broadly applies unless I have forgotten something intrinsic (which is highly possible)

    175,000,000 shares on issue
    Debt of 262,000,000
    Property value at June 08 financials $440(approx mil)
    NTA circa 1.00 per unit

    Scenario (Doomsday, firesales)
    Cap Rate 10%
    Drop in net property income of 20% (from 36.5mil odd)
    Circa 295,000,000 property value
    NTA $0.19 per unit

    Scenario (Pretty bad)
    Cap 10%
    Drop in net property income of 10% (from 36.5mil odd)
    Circa 329,000,000 property value
    NTA $0.37 per unit

    Average
    10% Drop in value of properties from the last valuation date
    Circa 400,000,000 property value
    NTA $0.79 per unit
    (this is my average/poor but vaguely realistic scenario)

    Surely then this has to be a screaming buy..

    Am I missing something.
 
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