I am not saying Europe won't buy Vanadium from South Africa. But for those countries and companies worried about a trade war with China/Russia the simple fact is that South Africa has been openly aligning itself with those countries. Doing a naval exercise with both Russia and China on the anniversary of the Ukraine invasion sends a very clear message. SA is getting in bed with the wrong side from a Western perspective.
I don't like it anymore then you. But I can't see investments deliberately made to diversify away from China/Russia going into SA.
They will all go to Australia, US, Canada and Europe. Even if the projects are not quite as good. And rightfully so.
No Western grants of investments aimed at securing supply for an uncertain future is going to flow to countries that are strengthening their ties with Russia or China or are due to geography under their influence.
Its hard for me to understand why SA is so obvious in choosing this path. Unlike many countries in Central Asia, SA could have quite easily stayed entirely neutral in which case they could have received some of these investments.
The benefits of being so bluntly friendly with Russia and doing military exercises with them at such a sensitive time completely eludes me.
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