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18/06/25
19:57
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Originally posted by Esmer:
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Israel has traditionally been a close ally of the USA. Trump has made the relationship even closer. Trump's apparent favouritism for Putin over Ukraine shocked many. It is now beginning to look like this may have been part of a long game whereby Israel will be able to destroy Iran without the risk that Russia will become involved. It looks to me that the "deal" is that America will go easy on Russia in relation to Ukraine provided that Russia stays out of Iran. (I think that Trump appears to have sacrificed Ukraine and this is why he was sure that Zelensky held no cards. Although I also think that Trump miscalculated here because he underestimates Europe which will not allow Putin to win.) If I am right then Iran is probably stuffed unless it has some secret weapons up its sleeve. If Iran is stuffed then the current Israel-Iran war poses little risk to world markets including the XJO. If I am wrong and Russia starts to supply Iran with weapons that it can use to defeat Israel then world markets including the XJO may be in for a big shock. But of course I think that I am probably right.
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I think you're giving Trump and the US government way too much credit for strategic long term thinking...