http://bz.vdma.org/article/-/articleview/1381109Translation"VDMA:...

http://bz.vdma.org/article/-/articleview/1381109
Translation
"VDMA: encourages billion revenue forecast for 2020

11.04.2013 | id: 1381109

German fuel cell industry continues to 2013 three-digit millions with heating and small power plants

The fuel cell industry is optimistic about the future: based on an industry survey of the VDMA Association of fuel cells, which was presented at the Donnerstagim part of the Hanover Trade fair, the company for 2020 expect a turnover of billions. Already in the year 2011, this trend in the survey had been and is now still detect deutlicherzu - instead of over a billion euros, the companies expect sales now with almost two billion euros.

Significant increase of the sales forecast for 2020 despite short-term delay
Taking into account of the total market, the 100-million-euro threshold can be exceeded in 2013 alone using fuel cells to generate electricity beyond the car and bus drive. In the last survey in 2011, reaching this threshold has been notified already for 2012. In 2012, the revenues of the fuel cell industry in Germany in the fields of domestic energy supply, industrial application, on-board or emergency power supply amounted to around EUR 80 million. While longer-term expectations have risen significantly, current VDMA are at a fuel economy mirrors of slight delays in the visible, short to medium-term technology introduction. Expectations for the year 2015 was 2011 slightly muted compared to the survey. But the trend is more positive: manufacturers in Germany generate according to the results of the survey from 2013 high double-digit growth rates. For 2020 manufacturers on significantly safer basis than in the survey expect sales in 2011 by almost two billion euros compared with EUR 1.2 billion at the time.

Current employment and employment forecast up to 2020 higher than expected
The current direct employment in the German fuel cell industry and the forecast for the employment are higher than last anticipated. "Already working over 1,500 people in the companies surveyed. By the year 2020 over 6,000 people can be employed only with fuel cells for stationary applications and SpezielleMärkte in Germany", stresses Johannes Schiel, Managing Director of the Association of fuel cell in the VDMA. Two years ago, the manufacturer for the year 2020 by about 5,000 workers had gone out. Transportation applications are still not considered the survey, here is in addition to expect strong revenue and employment figures. The export quota, which is already acceptable 28 percent for the early stage of the industry rises by 2020 in the direction of 50 Prozentund underlines the sustainability of German fuel cell industry.

Large Marktpotentialzeigt economic importance
The number of today still mostly small Brennstoffzellensystemefür special markets is rising by about 4,000 systems in 2012--nearly 14,000 in 2015 to about 100,000 in ever larger areas of power in 2020. But also stationary fuel cells are increasingly important towards 2020 and overtake the so-called early markets for quantities and installed power. House energy a study by the Institute has developed last year scenarios for the ecological and economic importance of electricity and heat using fuel cells in detached house for energy and environmental research in Heidelberg, Germany in autumn, now confirmed by the VDMA survey fuel cells. Guido Gummert, Managing Director of BAXI Innotech and Chairman of the VDMA Association of fuel cells, summed the expectations of the equipment manufacturer as follows: "we expect for at least 70,000 of fuel cell heaters in 2020 for installation in Germany and a similar volume for export. Together with numerous larger systems in commercial buildings and industrial applications demnachin be installed in Germany 2020 new fuel cells with over 200 MW of power. This fuel cell systems are also energy important."

Degradation of Markthemmnissenweiter required
The positive forecasts show that the market preparation Despite slight delay on a good path - the technologies are mature and the cost is already significantly lower. The national innovation programme hydrogen and fuel cell technologies of the Federal Government (NIP), which has supported the manufacturers of systems and components for stationary and special applications in the last five years with rational calculated means has a strong share of this. The slightly subdued Outlook for 2015 point out however, that still barriers to the introduction of the technology that the progression of the learning curve and be still disposed to raise the economies of scale. "Manufacturers of fuel cells and their suppliers need reliable energy policy framework for reducing costs and system optimization – beyond the current NIP", include Johannes Schiel and Guido Gummert together.

Representative metrics
The fuel cell industry in Germany is growing: industry and Government recognize relevance of fuel cell technologies for energy transformation in the building when the on-board and emergency power supply. With the results of the survey of 2013, VDMA Representative indicators for market development, technology maturity and industrial strength delivers fuel cell. Status and forecast offers a decision basis for the expansion of the fuel cell industry in Germany and illustrate the energy and the industrial importance of the young industry.

VDMA Association of fuel cell
VDMA supports 60 leading manufacturers and suppliers of fuel cells in the development of the industrial network to optimize the systems and components, as well as in the political advocacy. VDMA coordinates the fuel cell industry to the development of added value and employment in Germany and developed strategies jointly with the policy to the market penetration of fuel cell fuel cells. Technological advance and a stable domestic market are crucial to the chances of German manufacturer on the world market."

http://bz.vdma.org/article/-/articleview/805787
"VDMA/IBZ: Ecological and economic analysis of fuel cell heaters

09.10.2012 | id: 805787

Fuel cell heaters extend the technology portfolio of co-generation in the small performance area. The devices are suitable not only for the easy exchange of a large part of about 3.4 million boilers in Germany with over 24 years old.



So-called add-on equipment can serve in about 17 million also as a supplement by more modern gas heaters one and two, as well as apartment buildings. Environmental and energy point of view, the innovative systems have advantages over competing systems. Andreas ball, spokesman for the initiative fuel cell: "fuel cells can make a significant contribution here, the sleeping giant to raise buildings energy efficiency for energy transformation."

Fuel cell heaters offer perspectives from industrial policy point of view. Johannes Schiel, Managing Director of VDMA Association fuel cells: "With every year tens of thousands of fuel cell heaters produced in Germany a new efficiency technology sector can arise in a dynamic domestic market already in the medium term, which has enormous potential on the growth markets of Europe."

The ecological and economic analysis of fuel cell heaters of ifeu - Institute for energy and environmental research Heidelberg on behalf of the initiative fuel cells and the VDMA Association of fuel cell shows how useful is the use of small stationary fuel cells. The project was conducted in collaboration with the Research Institute for energy economy (FFE) and the society for economic research (GWS).

KW stationary fuel cells with an electrical output in 10 were investigated. With regard to the development of the market of two scenarios assumed, each compared to a reference design without removing the fuel cell: the baseline scenario with thousand and scenario dynamics with tens of thousands fuel cell systems some in the year 2020. The development shows that these dynamics with appropriate conditions can develop in Japan, where more than 12,000 small fuel cell devices are installed in the year 2011.

Reduction of more than 40 percent of greenhouse gas emissions possible
The high electrical and the good overall efficiency improved the greenhouse gas balance. Fuel cells combine this with extremely low emissions. Due to their higher power ratio and good scalability, they are suitable also for future building concepts such as energy and passive houses. According to ifeu, the devices in the partly renovated detached house save relative to the current mix of the year 2020 compared with a condensing boiler between 21 to over 40 per cent of greenhouse gas emissions. Extrapolated to whole Germany 2020 greenhouse gas savings of 1.5 million tons per year, representing 22 million tons over the course of the life of the device arise considering the cumulative installed base and one as dynamically adopted scenarios already in the year.

Fuel cells achieve competitiveness
In comparison, the use of fuel cells in a partially renovated house in the dynamic scenario leads to a supply-based gas condensing boiler/solar equal or lower energy costs. To the marketing of fuel cell heaters are new opportunities through good management. For example, additional income can be achieved compared to the purely heat-led operation of the plants. At high consumption, revenues can be increased through an optimized operation of CHP to about 70 to 80 euros per year.

Fuel secure value added and employment
The study also shows that even at a fairly moderate baseline scenario by about 0.4 billion euro added value and 3,000 workers compared to the reference scenario without having to remove of the fuel cell heaters can be expected with an increase. In the dynamic scenario, the economic added value is even at about 2.5 billion euros and 18,000 employees. "A corresponding construction of stationary fuel cells is associated with macroeconomic benefits in the year 2020, can be previously investigated energy and climate policy measures as quite considerably in comparison with others in order to model", so the GWS.

Image source: Ceramic fuel cells GmbH
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