Thanks @Cthevalue
I would value each commercially successful Vali well (if the flow rate is similar to Vali-1) at $10 million (net to VEN). Other wells may turn out to be better or worse. $90 million total for Vali (net to VEN)...
Assumptions/reasons: Based on the production of 5 billion cubic feet of gas (life of the well), the total revenue would be $53 million, using $10 per GJ. But STO may take up around 30% of the revenue for processing and the use of the pipeline.
So, the total revenue may be $37 million including STO charges.
Minus the cost of drilling and fracking is around $7.5 million, so we have $30 million.
But VEN owns half of the well, so VEN's share would equal $15 million.
Take a further 1 million for the pipeline per well (VEN needs to build a pipeline).
Considering the operating expenses by VEN and the discount rate of future cash flows, it would be fair IMO to assume $10 million value per well or $90 million for 9 wells for Vali.
Odin may bring another $40 million net to VEN assuming there are four wells and all are successful.
If the CO2 well brings in $160 million revenue net to VEN and assuming the costs (capital/operating) equal half of the total revenue it may bring another $80 million value.
Considering the risks, I think it wouldn't be unreasonable to expect over $100 million market cap. The MD says they are aiming to be a $100-200 million market cap company (hopefully without a cap raise!). There is also Cervantes, Albany wells and the NT assets on top.
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VEN
vintage energy ltd
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Last
0.5¢ |
Change
0.001(25.0%) |
Mkt cap ! $10.43M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | 0.4¢ | $18.33K | 4.613M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
29 | 25723563 | 0.3¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.5¢ | 11399097 | 20 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
29 | 25723563 | 0.003 |
21 | 20090832 | 0.002 |
7 | 19500000 | 0.001 |
0 | 0 | 0.000 |
0 | 0 | 0.000 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.005 | 11399097 | 20 |
0.006 | 5589856 | 5 |
0.007 | 580000 | 1 |
0.008 | 235419 | 1 |
0.010 | 2827997 | 2 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 27/06/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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PAR
PARADIGM BIOPHARMACEUTICALS LIMITED..
Paul Rennie, MD & Founder
Paul Rennie
MD & Founder
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