MWE mawson west ltd

tilleydog,Not sure where $30 - $40 is coming from?What I'm...

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    tilleydog,

    Not sure where $30 - $40 is coming from?

    What I'm suggesting is the Minmetals are paying $20K/t of future production. They also become a sub holder in MWE by default.

    MWE's production profile will peak in CY13 at around 39K Cu tonnes (giving them a free cashflow of <1x current price) and then settle to around 15kt pa for the following 10 years.

    Using the above you could easily suggest a market cap leading into production in late CY12 of +$400M. To get the price above $5 they will need to confirm a higher resource base to allow for an increased production profile to 25ktpa. They appear quitely confident in this regard.

    Conclusion: IMO +$3 is achievable during CY12 given the company will be flooded with cash in CY13 irrespective of Cu price (given it's net cash cost /lb of production).



 
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