vic govt desperate to prop up land values, page-9

  1. 1,252 Posts.
    "What I'm not hearing from the bears is 'what' is going to cause this capitulation if employment numbers stay relatively level?"

    Ubid, that's a questionable assumption. Retail is now struggling. They employ a large number of people in this country. Consumption is a big driver of credit growth in Australia. We've had warnings from the big players in retail that things are not looking good.

    The other risk factors are:
    Increasing finance costs - Bank finance costs are driven significantly by overseas credit crises, not the RBA. That wont end soon.

    A falling AUD - A falling AUD means rising import prices, fuel being the big one.

    A 'less fast' chinese economy - we all know government here is highly dependant on mining revenue. Middle class welfare is dependant on it. Thermal coal and iron ore prices - indicators of chinese economic health - are both showing weakness.
 
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