ok I have added a few scenarios with Saas growth of 30% , 50% , 75% & 100%. What I can now see is the market is currently giving us a PE multiple of 3.5 which is very low see link https://stockrow.com/CRM/competitors Salesforce has a PE of 243 . Looking at the data I would say to avoid another small CR we need to see SaaS growth above 50% or costs need to come down and at the moment is probably the main reason for the suppressed SP and a PE of only 3.5. Sustained Q on Q growth even at 30% should be rewarded with an increasing PE multiplier which I have guessed at but I think it is what the market would do . So the main focus for Rusty is to get that growth number for SaaS up above 50% without increasing cost . To be fair to him this is what he has been doing with the 4 pillars just how well he has been doing we will find out.
Column 1
Column 2
Column 3
Column 4
Column 5
Column 6
Column 7
Column 8
Column 9
Column 10
Column 11
Column 12
Column 13
Column 14
Column 15
Column 16
0
Q
SaaS Rev
DD Rev
Saas Growth Q on Q
DD Growth Q on Q
Revenue $ mil
Cost $ mil
Cash from CR
Earnings per Q
Earnings per Y
Growth
PE
EV
Cash
MC
SP
1
0.075
0.43
30%
20%
0.50
1.50
1.50
0.50
2.00
3.5
7.0
5.5
13
1.8
2
Jan-17
0.10
0.51
30%
20%
0.61
1.53
1.53
0.61
2.43
22%
3.75
9.1
4.0
13
1.9
3
Apr-17
0.13
0.61
30%
20%
0.74
1.56
1.56
0.74
2.96
48%
4
11.8
2.4
14
2.0
4
Jul-17
0.16
0.73
30%
20%
0.90
1.59
1.59
0.90
3.60
80%
4.25
15.3
0.8
16
2.3
5
Oct-17
0.21
0.88
30%
20%
1.10
1.62
1.62
1.10
4.38
119%
4.5
19.7
5.5
25
3.6
6
Jan-18
0.28
1.06
30%
20%
1.34
1.66
1.66
1.34
5.34
167%
5
26.7
3.8
31
4.4
7
Apr-18
0.36
1.27
30%
20%
1.63
1.69
1.69
1.63
6.52
226%
5.5
35.9
2.2
38
5.5
8
Jul-18
0.47
1.52
30%
20%
1.99
1.72
0.40
0.67
2.68
299%
15
40.2
0.4
41
5.9
9
Oct-18
0.61
1.83
30%
20%
2.44
1.76
0.00
0.68
2.73
388%
20
54.5
0.0
55
7.9
10
11
Q
SaaS Rev
DD Rev
Saas Growth Q on Q
DD Growth Q on Q
Revenue $ mil
Cost $ mil
Cash from CR
Earnings
Earnings per Y
Growth
PE
EV
Cash
MC
SP
12
0.075
0.43
50%
20%
0.50
1.50
1.50
0.50
2.00
3.5
7.0
5.5
13
1.8
13
Jan-17
0.11
0.51
50%
20%
0.62
1.53
1.53
0.62
2.49
25%
4.5
11.2
4.0
15
2.2
14
Apr-17
0.17
0.61
50%
20%
0.78
1.56
1.56
0.78
3.12
56%
5.5
17.2
2.4
20
2.8
15
Jul-17
0.25
0.73
50%
20%
0.99
1.59
1.59
0.99
3.95
98%
6.5
25.7
0.8
26
3.8
16
Oct-17
0.38
0.88
50%
20%
1.26
1.62
1.62
1.26
5.04
152%
7.5
37.8
5.5
43
6.2
17
Jan-18
0.57
1.06
50%
20%
1.63
1.66
1.66
1.63
6.51
225%
8.5
55.3
3.8
59
8.5
18
Apr-18
0.85
1.27
50%
20%
2.12
1.69
1.69
2.12
8.49
325%
10
84.9
2.2
87
12.5
19
Jul-18
1.28
1.52
50%
20%
2.80
1.72
0.40
1.48
5.93
461%
20
118.5
0.4
119
17.1
20
Oct-18
1.92
1.83
50%
20%
3.75
1.76
0.00
1.99
7.97
650%
35
278.9
0.0
279
40.2
21
22
Q
SaaS Rev
DD Rev
Saas Growth Q on Q
DD Growth Q on Q
Revenue $ mil
Cost $ mil
Cash from CR
Earnings
Earnings per Y
Growth
PE
EV
Cash
MC
SP
23
0.075
0.43
75%
20%
0.50
1.50
1.50
0.50
2.00
3.5
7.0
5.5
13
1.8
24
Jan-17
0.13
0.51
75%
20%
0.64
1.53
1.53
0.64
2.57
28%
5
12.8
4.0
17
2.4
25
Apr-17
0.23
0.61
75%
20%
0.84
1.56
1.56
0.84
3.37
68%
7
23.6
2.4
26
3.7
26
Jul-17
0.40
0.73
75%
20%
1.14
1.59
1.59
1.14
4.55
127%
10
45.5
0.8
46
6.7
27
Oct-17
0.70
0.88
75%
20%
1.58
1.62
0.80
0.76
3.04
217%
20
60.9
0.0
61
8.8
28
Jan-18
1.23
1.06
75%
20%
2.29
1.66
0.00
0.63
2.53
358%
30
75.9
0.0
76
10.9
29
Apr-18
2.15
1.27
75%
20%
3.42
1.69
0.00
1.73
6.94
585%
35
242.8
0.0
243
35.0
30
Jul-18
3.77
1.52
75%
20%
5.29
1.72
0.00
3.57
14.28
959%
40
571.2
0.0
571
82.2
31
Oct-18
6.60
1.83
75%
20%
8.42
1.76
0.00
6.67
26.67
1585%
45
1200.1
0.0
1200
172.8
32
33
Q
SaaS Rev
DD Rev
Saas Growth Q on Q
DD Growth Q on Q
Revenue $ mil
Cost $ mil
Cash from CR
Earnings
Earnings per Y
Growth
PE
EV
Cash
MC
SP
34
0.075
0.43
100%
20%
0.50
1.50
1.50
0.50
2.00
3.5
7.0
5.5
13
1.8
35
Jan-17
0.15
0.51
100%
20%
0.66
1.53
1.53
0.66
2.64
32%
5
13.2
4.0
17
2.5
36
Apr-17
0.30
0.61
100%
20%
0.91
1.56
1.56
0.91
3.65
82%
7
25.5
2.4
28
4.0
37
Jul-17
0.60
0.73
100%
20%
1.33
1.59
1.59
1.33
5.34
167%
10
53.4
0.8
54
7.8
38
Oct-17
1.20
0.88
100%
20%
2.08
1.62
0.80
1.26
5.03
316%
20
100.6
0.0
101
14.5
39
Jan-18
2.40
1.06
100%
20%
3.46
1.66
0.00
1.80
7.21
592%
30
216.2
0.0
216
31.1
40
Apr-18
4.80
1.27
100%
20%
6.07
1.69
0.00
4.38
17.52
1114%
35
613.2
0.0
613
88.3
41
Jul-18
9.60
1.52
100%
20%
11.12
1.72
0.00
9.40
37.60
2125%
40
1504.0
0.0
1504
216.6
42
Oct-18
19.20
1.83
100%
20%
21.03
1.76
0.00
19.27
77.08
4105%
45
3468.6
0.0
3469
499.5
VPC Price at posting:
1.8¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held