My ideal set up is a run up into SEP 11 and then down into NOV 6 US election day for my 99/56 cal day pattern.
I doubt we get a major sell off before the election as there are those that don't want to see that.
History would suggest from about second half Aug to mid Sep is the time to watch for a top and lows in Oct or Nov though.
Here are a few observations of late.
We topped on Aug 23 which is a Voltaire family member birthday and as crazy as it sounds, they have some amazing turns on those dates :-)
A few weeks ago we had weekly TDSEQH sell signals and if they don't top then it is usually 2 to 4 weeks later as shown below. The last one labelled 3 should be 4.
That hasn't been updated this week.
The SPI chart below hasn't been updated today but we did break the lower trend line although it is trying to regain it so worth watching.
Finallly a put/call chart that looks scarey. The next lowest was the start of May and that was the start of the main decline this year. I am no expert on this and they may also be associated with lows perhaps.
All in all it is more than a little concerning.
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