Renes, I appreciate your worries but I have still greater concerns to the extent that I am now of the belief that we have all been and are still being conned. I would like the company to come out with a concrete statement telling us what they are doing and what they propose to do.
These concerns arise from over a year ago when they put out an announcement that they were going to start drilling in June last year. This spud date came and went. The next was a capital raising to pay for the drilling with a new spud date by the end of last year.
whoops, they couldn't drill because they didn't have access to the land and had to buy it. Seemed strange because they had recruited a local expert at or about the time they announced their first spud date.
Anyway, after a very long and protracted due diligence process the land was purchased. Goody, now we can get on with the drilling.
No. We have now found some seismic data which we should purchase and reprocess. This really set my alarm bells ringing. Why no mention of needing seismic data prior to this and why have they just found out that it exists. I ask myself, if someone had seismic results then they would be worthless to them after they had relinquished the land. I can imagine a scenario where seismic results could infer that the site prospects were low to zero and which would reduce the value of the land. In this case a land seller might not disclose that they had seismic data in order to maximise the value that they received for the land.
If this was the case then they could gain extra value from selling the seismic data after the land was purchased?
The alternative case is that the seismic data was good. In this case the seller could maximise value by selling the seismic data along with the land.
So what now? You will notice that the latest release says that they are in the process of purchasing the data - not they have purchased it. How much longer will this process take? Then there is the cost of processing it. I don't imagine that they have in-house facilities to do this so I don't expect it to come cheap.
Okay, they buy the seismic data have it reprocessed and reinterpreted. What then? Lets take two scenerios.
First, they find what is an excellent drill site. Although the company has not disclosed how much land they have purchased they do say that it is the Prabu-1 drill site in the southwest of their lease. If this correct then do they have to go through another protracted land buying exercise before they can drill?
Second, if they don't find a drill site then what do they do? Do more seismic or just say to hell with it and drill Prabu-1?
A third alternative is to just buy the cheapest of the new blocks currently on the market, ramp it up, do a capital raising and then keep going.
Either which way by the time they get round to it I don't believe they will have enough money to drill so that I can't see any drilling any time soon
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