XJO 0.93% 7,889.6 s&p/asx 200

wednesday, the day no one wants, page-66

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    Could this be a speed bump to the US markets? - from CNBC

    "GDP Shows Surprise Drop for US in Fourth Quarter"

    "The U.S. economy posted a stunning drop of 0.1 percent in the fourth quarter, defying expectations for slow growth and possibly providing incentive for more Federal Reserve stimulus."

    http://www.cnbc.com/id/100419252

    I suppose the figure could be revised up later on.

    The USD POG perked up to $1682, a $20 rise. GDX, HUI and GDXJ are currently all up over 1%.

    Yesterday some of the talking heads on CNBC (Doug Kass and Marc Faber) expected a correction soon due to the over-bought market and stretched valuations. Most of them only expect a 5% or so pullback.

    Between the shouting and arguments, here is some discussion on that GDP figure for Dec 2012 from CNBC

    http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?play=1&video=3000144692

    CNBC also ran a story on Oz being due for a correction - first time I have seen them providing such a report - Roger Montgomery and some other hold that view

    "Australia Stocks at 21-Month High, but Brace for Correction"

    http://www.cnbc.com/id/100418357

    A balanced rehash of some of the issues facing the US economy by Prof Feldstein - CNBC video. Also some interesting introductory views on the effectiveness of the Fed's policies

    http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?play=1&video=3000143871

    Given that most of the rise in the US sharemarket during the last 6 months has been due to PE multiple expansion, a pricking of investor sentiment has the potential to quickly reduce that expansion and hence result in a fall in the sharemarket.

    loki


 
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