In America: Last night we saw a process we've been accustomed to...

  1. 9,652 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 5623
    In America:

    Last night we saw a process we've been accustomed to recently. Indices were well down near the opening, but bears had no strength to capitalise. Markets finished more or less flat.

    DJ +0.01%, SP500 +0.05%, NYA +0.19%, Nasdaq +0.16%, Russell2000 -0.11%.

    Screen Shot 2017-03-04 at 9.10.24 AM.png

    SP500:



    The last time SPX was at the top of the Standard Error Channel it went into a six weeks long sideways trend until it hit the low side of the SEC. We can now expect to see something similar or, perhaps, a sharp pull-back. A sideways consolidation can work off the overbought readings without there necessarily being a sharp pull-back. Given the strength of the "Trump Rally" that seems the most likely scenario.

    (Note: The Principle of Alternation suggests otherwise, i.e., whatever happened last time, it will be different this time.)

    VIX


    Screen Shot 2017-03-04 at 9.15.35 AM.png

    VIX had a big fall last night (bullish for stocks) - back below the 50-Day MA. Punters are once again happy with their lot.

    Commodities:

    US$ had a big fall last night -0.87%. Such an event usually has a big effect on commodities. It helped but not a lot.

    DBC +0.51%. Industrial Metals +0.25%. Energy +0.55%. Gold -0.06%.

    In Australia:

    XJO fell heavily yesterday, -0.81%. It has stalled at the 13-Day MA.

    XJO market has plenty of support below: 20-Day MA, Super Trend Line, Lower Edge of the Standard Error Channel and then the 65-Day MA. I doubt the 65-DMA will break. Even if all that fails, we'd be looking at major Horizontal Support where we were about a month ago. That would provide us with a wide sideways trading channel. I'm not expecting that to happen. But, you never know.

    Screen Shot 2017-03-04 at 12.09.59 PM.png

    Full Weekly Report tomorrow.

    RB.
 
Add to My Watchlist
What is My Watchlist?
A personalised tool to help users track selected stocks. Delivering real-time notifications on price updates, announcements, and performance stats on each to help make informed investment decisions.
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.