MAE 0.00% 0.0¢ marion energy limited

weird?, page-19

  1. 1,451 Posts.
    Jordan

    On the companies balance sheet the "value" of its oil and gas properties on book is $190 Mill. Firstly there is a good chance they may loose some acreage if they haven't already and the fact they haven't done a reserve report in a looong time suggests its probably "worth" a lot less than that.

    But for interests sake lets say $150 Mill to be kind.
    Then you have what $60 Mill debt to take into account so $90 Mill left to divy up.

    there is 1 billion shares on issue and about 350 mill 2.5 cent oppies. lets say 1.4 billion shares.

    Take 90 mill amoungst 1.4 billion shares = 7 centss per share.

    IMO the book value of $150 Mill is still way to kind atm. Sure if they actually produce gas in the next 5 weeks it may be accurate but if they dont the book value should be drastically reduced.

    For 20 cents to be possible the company would need to be producing 20+mmcf at 5mmcf I would consider 5-7 cents PS reasonable at what they have now i think the Sp is fairly valued becasue if no gas flows the company will be sold at firesale and everyday joes will not get a cent back after secured creditors are paid out.
 
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