welcome to 2023! SP prediction, analysis discussion thread

given the following, & that ~89% ($14.37m of $16.15m) of H1FY22's revenue i think can now be considered stable/predictable as it's services/WFH revenue with a growing, multi-year backlog, it's only a matter of time & patience until i'm predicting the market will re-rate us 100-300% back to 10-15 cents:



less than one month until Q4's 4C drops; based on commentary from Q2 & Q3, social media posts like job ads, i'm expecting a reduction in admin & corporate costs of ~$250k & revenue growth of 10% to total ~$10m; if i'm correct, this would result in $1m to $1.5m positive cashflow for Q4, a 3rd CFP quarter! also, last quarter marked the final payment for the LSS acquisition & a good amount of options were exercised; therefore, i expect our cash on hand to increase to >$23m to kick-off FY23.

1H EBITDA was $4.4m, annualising, our run rate is ~$40m with ~$10m EBITDA, & it looks like we're now profitable to the tune of ~$2m NPAT, minimum, without having launched a new game in +1.5 years:

my 52w SP prediction is 10 to 15 cents; given our current SOI of 1.33B, this equates to an MC between $133m to $199m, a 100-300% return from current SP.

anyone else game enough to make a prediction & provide some analysis?