No it's not rocket science. If supply doesn't match demand, it also means reduced gas production by design.
Didn't you read the following sections?
"The so-called Gas Substitution Road Map forecasts that dwindling production..."
“There have been moratoriums on onshore and offshore gas production in Victoria … it does leave us with future supply capacity constraints, particularly in cold winters. That will push up costs, no doubt.”
"The Bass Strait production is due to drop off from 2027, cutting the domestic supply."
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