There has been an astonishing rise from around $0.28 to $0.365 (around 30%) on no news and very low volume.
If Swap's broker report that Orbis are now taking a back seat is correct, then CER has trended down over the last few months (during unrelenting institutional buying) and now that Orbis have ceased buying it is moving up!
I don't doubt your analysis Swap I just find the movement in CER's SP far more unpredictable than CNP's.
dc1
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