what if the new drilling program flops?

firstly i hold HOG and I am happy with its run. so do not be upset when i say if the new drilling program flops how much will the share price fall? i have experienced this first hand with MEO and CUE when their artemis well was a dud.. however i know that HOG has got a world class asset and a steady cash flow. still could anyone please tell me a rough estimate how much the share price mite drop if their new spuds in the dilling campaign are empty??