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20/07/24
15:14
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Originally posted by pintohoo:
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''yes he will '' at this stage- Trump is favourite but as very recent history has shown - 2 things are crystal 1. that large political events that sway things - can happen in microseconds and there's a whole lot of microseconds left in the race - about 4 months worth 2. that there is such a thing as political momentum - same as there is in sport with teams or individuals having momentum to reach their peak ------- then what? The momentum has been crystal clear for Trump in the last weeks - SCOTUS wins, my bleeding ear sympathy, case dismissals - Trump is on a roll - no question there. But, will he peak? Will he peak too early? and if he peaks - what happens then?? what happens if the Democrats make changes - and get some momentum - and then their peak is at the election and Trump is in decline?? Whilst I fully agree that Trump looks like a winner atm --------- the race is NOT a foregone conclusion and the race still has a long way to go. ATM, the betting markets suggest that Trump would beat Biden - fairly comfortablybut, the markets certainly do not suggest a runaway favourite situation for which 'party' will win -------- meaning that if the runners are different - so too is the potential for the race to the line
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we'll see in due course. where is the alternative? without a suitable alternative the whole shebang relies on people getting out to vote against or for Trump..... nothing to do with the alternative/left candidate ad Biden has written himself off. if the anti-Trump voters become apathetic there will be nothing to stop Trump.