People are questioning: why is the market so negative on Li?
One (of the many factors) that is driving this negativity across the board is the analysts forecast of future pricing. This expectation seems to be deteriorating on a daily basis and this negative view seems to be getting more widespread (and prolonged).
Here is the latest Li price forecasts from MacBank taken from a review of ORE dated 4 Feb 2019. These numbers are the worst I have seen in recent times and it is this negative expectation of price that is driving the valuations lower.
It is apparent from the recent comments from Joe Lowry and other gurus we are in for a period of low price expectations. The question is: how long will this negative view on pricing prevail??
Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 0 ASSUMPTIONS FY17 FY18e FY19e FY20e 1 Exchange Rate A$/US$ 0.75 0.78 0.72 0.72 2 Lithium Carbonate US$/t 10,698 13,709 11,563 7,525 3 Variance (year on year) 75.4% 28.1% -15.7% -34.9% 4 Lithium Hydroxide US$/t 12,303 16,909 15,031 9,783 5 Variance (year on year) 46.6% 37.4% -11.1% -34.9%
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