MFG 1.29% $8.66 magellan financial group limited

I have a SBF calculator. thanks to my technical excel...

  1. 15 Posts.
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    I have a SBF calculator. cool.png thanks to my technical excel spreadsheet from high school the value is what I say it is.

    But in all seriousness, I meant for MFG 36% holding to be worth its current market cap, BJ would have to achieve a $4.37b valuation.
    Not saying it is worth that now, just that I think it is achievable in a 5 year time frame, and being the smart little bankers they are I'm sure they will wait for a favourable IPO environment.

    This speaks volume. I mean look how quickly they climbed those ranks.
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6138/6138209-131a3760ae81a820842108648603a111.jpg

    Set up costs are now largely sunk, So if they can maintain their quality they have up to date (no reason they won't) for another 5 years they have massive Revenue and NPAT potential, their business is pretty much at this point a fully built out, full service investment bank crushing Macquarie. We do know their revenue is $226m in '23 and operating expenses of $166m which still included some setup costs, we also know that those setup costs are now complete.

    So lets grow the revenue by 20% per annum, strong but fair considering their current trajectory, that is $469m in 2027
    Now let's carry their costs of $166m to account for the setup costs that were in 2023, no idea but lets call it $16m, fair. and grow expenses by 10% as they grown revenue but also refine margins, that gives us expenses of $220m in 2027
    2027 gross profit of $247m

    IPO in 2027 with Profit of $247 and a strongly growing IB puts a 18x on it....pretty snazzy really.

    Hell even if you grow revenue at just 15% per annum its still only 25x at a $4.37b val

    Plus I hear SBF will be conducting valuations for toothpaste from the cell, so nothing metric wise really matters lets just call it an easy $9 billion.
 
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